Tracking the Tropics: keeping an eye on the tropical wave in the Caribbean

The tropical wave in the NW Caribbean has yet to form but is expected to over the coming days either in this region or the southern Gulf of Mexico.

Once it develops, it will be in a conducive environment for strengthening and is expected to become a tropical depression and a Tropical Storm as it moves north and then northeastward.

Further strengthening into a hurricane is possible as it moves toward the panhandle. We will closely monitor this as it will impact the Bay Area late next week regarding rain and wind.

For now, it has an 80 percent chance of development.

Another wave is expected to move off the African coast overnight or into Monday and has a good possibility of development as it moves through an environment conducive to development.

It has a 60 percent chance of developing over the next several days.